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CANAL DO SEU TIME NO WHATSAPP DO GLOBO
06/12/2023 02h00 Atualizado 06/12/2023
Assinantes podem presentear 5 acessos GRATUITOS?? por dia.
Nesta quarta-feira acontece a �ltima rodada do Campeonato Brasileiro e, apesar do Palmeiras ser o virtual campe�o, uma vez?? que tem 99,97% de chances de levar a ta�a, segundo a Bola de Cristal, do GLOBO, ainda existem chances matem�ticas?? para Atl�tico-MG e Flamengo. As chances s�o m�nimas, diga-se, mas existem. A Bola de Cristal leva em considera��o c�lculos matem�ticos,?? segundo o Departamento de Matem�tica da UFMG.
Al�m disso, muita coisa est� em jogo � e tudo ser� decidido a partir?? das 21h30 (de Bras�lia) desta quarta-feira. Nove dos dez jogos ser�o realizados de forma simult�nea � apenas o confronto entre?? rebaixados, Goi�s x Am�rica-MG, vai come�ar �s 19h.
Confira abaixo os cen�rios para o t�tulo brasileiro, por vaga � Libertadores e?? � Sul-americana e para fugir do rebaixamento:
T�tulo
O Palmeiras ser� campe�o vencendo ou empatando com o Cruzeiro. O jogo ocorre em?? Belo Horizonte e a equipe mineira, que se livrou do rebaixamento, busca agora confirmar vaga na Sul-Americana.
Em caso de derrota?? paulista, � necess�rio que Atl�tico-MG ou Flamengo ven�am e tirem uma enorme vantagem no saldo: os mineiros precisam reverter um?? panorama de, pelo menos, oito gols de vantagem, enquanto os cariocas t�m esse n�mero ampliado para, no m�nimo, 16 gols.?? Por isso, as chances matem�ticas de ambos s�o �nfimas: 0,03% para Atl�tico-MG e quase 0% para Flamengo.
Isso porque o Palmeiras?? tem 69 pontos e saldo de gols positivo de 31). Atl�tico-MG e Flamengo t�m 66 pontos e podem chegar a?? 69. Os mineiros tem saldo positivo de 23 gols, e os cariocas, de 15 gols.
Libertadores
Quatro clubes brigam por tr�s vagas?? para entrar de forma direta na Libertadores. O l�der Palmeiras j� est� garantido na fase de grupos do torneio continental.
Atl�tico-MG,?? Flamengo (66) e Gr�mio (65) v�o � ultima rodada no G4, dependendo apenas deles mesmos para garantir a vaga direta.
O?? �nico que ainda pode fisgar uma vaga � o Botafogo (64), que n�o vence h� dez rodadas � a �ltima?? vit�ria foi em 18 de outubro, contra o Am�rica-MG.
Para isso, precisaria vencer o Inter em Porto Alegre e torcer por?? pelo menos um destes cen�rios para assim superar qualquer um dos tr�s rivais nos crit�rios de desempate:
Empate ou derrota do?? Atl�tico-MG para o BahiaEmpate ou derrota do Flamengo para o S�o PauloEmpate ou derrota do Gr�mio para o Fluminense
Sul-Americana
Na pen�ltima?? rodada, Internacional, Fortaleza, Cuiab� e Corinthians se garantiram na Sul-Americana de 2024 (o Athletico-PR tamb�m est� nesta lista). Agora, apenas?? a 14� e �ltima vaga est� em aberto.
O Cruzeiro empatou com o Botafogo, se livrou do rebaixamento e, de quebra,?? ficou bem perto de se garantir na Sul-Americana. A equipe mineira chegou aos 46 pontos. Segundo a Bola de Cristal,?? do GLOBO, o Cruzeiro tem 90,10% de chance de fisgar esta �ltima vaga.
O Santos, que ainda luta contra a queda?? para a S�rie B, � o �nico que pode atormentar a vida dos mineiros nos crit�rios de desempate: o time?? soma 43 pontos e, se vencer, pode assumir a 14� posi��o � neste caso, � preciso de uma vit�ria simples?? do Palmeiras sobre o elenco cruzeirense. Suas chances s�o de 9,90%.
Rebaixamento
Um rebaixado ainda ser� definido. Bahia, Vasco e Santos v�o?? para a �ltima rodada com risco de queda � desde a 36� rodada, j� � sabido que Goi�s, Coritiba e?? Am�rica-MG v�o disputar a S�rie B em 2024.
O Bahia tem 68,9% chance de queda, segundo a Bola de Cristal, do?? OGLOBO, contra 24,9% de Vasco e 6,2% de Santos, respectivamente.
Veja os cen�rios de cada time para permanecer na primeira divis�o:
Bahia?? (x Atl�tico-MG) � 41 pontos
Caso ven�a: precisaria torcer para n�o triunfo de Vasco ou SantosCaso empate: precisaria torcer para derrota?? do VascoCaso perca: ser� rebaixado
Vasco (x Red Bull Bragantino) � 42 pontos
Caso ven�a: jogar� a S�rie A em 2024Caso empate:?? precisaria torcer para n�o triunfo de Bahia ou SantosCaso perca: precisaria torcer para derrota do Bahia
Santos (x Fortaleza) � 43?? pontos
Caso ven�a: jogar� a S�rie A em 2024Caso empate: precisaria torcer para Vasco e Bahia n�o venceremCaso perca: precisaria torcer?? para o Vasco n�o pontuar e o Bahia n�o vencer
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